Alternative Premier League table after 29 games, based on expected goals

Alternative Premier League table after 29 games, based on expected goals
The Premier League never fails to entertain.Another fascinating weekend of action has seen movement across the top-flight table, including a swap at the top.Liverpool will wonder how they failed to beat Everton11
Liverpool will wonder how they failed to beat Everton
Liverpool are now chasing Manchester City in their bid to win the title having drawn 0-0 with rivals Everton after watching Pep Guardiola’s team beat Bournemouth 1-0.Elsewhere, Brighton claimed a vital win to increase their chances of avoiding relegation, while Fulham fans will at least be buoyed by an improved performance against Chelsea, despite a 2-1 defeat on Sunday.Meanwhile, Manchester United’s top four tilt shows no sign of slowing as they came from behind to beat Southampton. Here at talkSPORT.com were always keeping an eye onUnderstat.comto see how players and clubs are performing based on their xG stats.Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below

What is expected goals?

  • Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
  • Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
  • The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
  • The xG value of every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

20. Huddersfield – Real position = 20Real points = 14 | Expected points = 23.5119. Newcastle United – Real position = 14Real points = 31 | Expected points = 26.5918. Cardiff City – Real position = 18Real points = 25 | Expected points = 27.16Cardiff manager Neil Warnock11
Cardiff manager Neil Warnock
17. Fulham – Real position = 19Real points = 17 | Expected points = 27.4716. Brighton & Hove Albion – Real position = 15Real points = 30 | Expected points = 29.8615. Southampton – Real position = 17Real points = 27 | Expected points = 32.68James Ward-Prowse celebrates scoring for Southampton11
James Ward-Prowse celebrates scoring for Southampton
14. Burnley – Real position = 16Real points = 30 | Expected points = 33.2413. West Ham – Real position = 9Real points = 39 | Expected points = 33.5612. Everton – Real position = 10Real points = 37 | Expected points = 36.5811. Bournemouth – Real position = 12Real points = 34 | Expected points = 36.78Bournemouth players celebrate together11
Bournemouth players celebrate together
10. Crystal Palace – Real position = 13Real points = 33 | Expected points = 38.179. Watford – Real position = 8Real points = 43 | Expected points = 40.478. Leicester – Real position = 11Real points = 35 | Expected points = 41.16Brendan Rodgers has succeeded Claude Puel at Leicester City@LCFC11
Brendan Rodgers has succeeded Claude Puel at Leicester City
7. Wolverhampton Wanderers – Real position = 7Real points = 43 | Expected points = 46.666. Manchester United – Real position = 4Real points = 58 | Expected points = 47.29Solskjaer has enjoyed a wonderful start to life as Manchester United boss11
Solskjaer has enjoyed a wonderful start to life as Manchester United boss
5. Arsenal – Real position = 5Real points = 57 | Expected points = 48.12Unai Emery is aiming to finish in the top four with Arsenal11
Unai Emery is aiming to finish in the top four with Arsenal
4. Tottenham – Real position = 3Real points = 61 | Expected points = 48.35Spurs’ title hopes have taken a major blow in recent weeks11
Spurs’ title hopes have taken a major blow in recent weeks
3. Chelsea – Real position = 6Real points = 56 | Expected points = 51.63Kepa Arrizabalaga impressed Maurizio Sarri in Chelsea’s win at Fulham11
Kepa Arrizabalaga impressed Maurizio Sarri in Chelsea’s win at Fulham
2. Liverpool – Real position = 2Real points = 70 | Expected points = 63.56Was this the moment during the Merseyside derby which changed the course of the Premier League title?11
Was this the moment during the Merseyside derby which changed the course of the Premier League title?
1. Manchester City – Real position = 1Real points = 71 | Expected points = 68.94Pep Guardiola celebrate Man City’s win over Bournemouth.11
Pep Guardiola celebrate Man City’s win over Bournemouth.



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hollywoodadviser.com/alternative-premier-league-table-after-35-games-based-on-expected-goals/
But how would the Premier League table look if it was based on results calculated by 'Expected Goals'? Here at talkSPORT.com we're always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their xG stats. Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…
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