Alternative Premier League table after 27 games, based on expected goals

Alternative Premier League table after 27 games, based on expected goals
It may have been a 0-0 draw between Manchester United and Liverpool in the Premier League but it was still an intriguing game at Old Trafford.Injuries from the match could now have a huge impact on the rest of the season with Ole Gunnar Solskjaer forced to make three substitutions in the first half, while Marcus Rashford stayed on the pitch despite suffering a knock.Liverpool and Manchester United midfielders James Milner and Paul Pogba embrace each other.GETTY11
Liverpool and Manchester United midfielders James Milner and Paul Pogba embrace each other.
Elsewhere, Tottenham’s title hopes were handed a huge blow as they lost 2-1 to Burnley in a controversial match with both sides scoring goals in a dubious manner before manager Mauricio Pochettino was involved in a confrontation with referee Mike Dean.And Crystal Palace eased their relegation fears with a brilliant 4-1 victory over Leicester City at the King Power stadium.An angry Pochettino confronts Dean as the final whistle goes11
An angry Pochettino confronts Dean as the final whistle goes
Here at talkSPORT.com were always keeping an eye onUnderstat.comto see how players and clubs are performing based on their xG stats.Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below

What is expected goals?

  • Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match.
  • Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
  • The higher the xG of a particular shot, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.
  • The xG valueof every shot in a game is then used to calculate the expected goals in a particular match.

20.Huddersfield Town Real position = 20Real points = 11 | Expected points = 20.9319. Fulham Real position = 19Real points = 17 | Expected points = 25.07Ryan Babel jumped for joy after giving Fulham the lead against West Ham11
Ryan Babel jumped for joy after giving Fulham the lead against West Ham
18. Newcastle United Real position = 15Real points = 28 | Expected points = 25.2717.Cardiff City Real position = 17Real points = 25 | Expected points = 26.5516. Brighton and Hove Albion Real position = 16*Real points = 27 | Expected points = 26.5615. Burnley Real position = 14Real points = 30 | Expected points = 28.84Burnley star Chris Wood celebrates.11
Burnley star Chris Wood celebrates.
14. Southampton Real position = 18Real points = 24 | Expected points = 31.0213. West Ham Real position = 9Real points = 36 | Expected points = 31.52Michail Antonio sealed the Hammers win against Fulham in injury time11
Michail Antonio sealed the Hammers win against Fulham in injury time
12. Everton Real position = 11Real points = 33 | Expected points = 33.8311. Crystal Palace Real position = 13Real points = 30 | Expected points = 36.04Zaha celebrates with the travelling Palace fans at the weekend11
Zaha celebrates with the travelling Palace fans at the weekend
10. Bournemouth Real position = 10Real points = 34 | Expected points = 36.109.Watford Real position = 7Real points = 40 | Expected points = 38.32Troy Deeney and Gerard Deulofeu celebrate11
Troy Deeney and Gerard Deulofeu celebrate
8. Leicester City Real position = 12Real points = 32 | Expected points = 38.677.Arsenal Real position = 4Real points = 53 | Expected points = 43.08Henrikh Mkhitaryan scored against Southampton11
Henrikh Mkhitaryan scored against Southampton
6. Wolverhampton Wanderers Real position = 8Real points = 40 | Expected points = 43.275. Manchester United Real position = 5Real points = 52 | Expected points = 43.40Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is the interim manager of Manchester United11
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer is the interim manager of Manchester United
4. Tottenham Hotspur Real position = 3Real points = 60 | Expected points = 46.63Kane equalised in the second half for Tottenham against Burnley but couldn’t stop them losing11
Kane equalised in the second half for Tottenham against Burnley but couldn’t stop them losing
3.Chelsea Real position = 6*Real points = 50 | Expected points = 49.042.Liverpool Real position = 1Real points = 66 | Expected points = 58.73Jurgen Klopp hinted Liverpool’s failure to win against Manchester United was a missed opportunity11
Jurgen Klopp hinted Liverpool’s failure to win against Manchester United was a missed opportunity
1. Manchester City Real position = 2Real points = 65 | Expected points = 63.34*Yet to play in Gameweek 27


Manchester City kept the pressure on Premier League leaders Liverpool by beating West Ham 1-0 at the Etihad Stadium. The midweek matches also saw Chelsea, who dropped Kepa Arrizabalaga following his antics during the Carabao Cup final, beat Tottenham, while Arsenal and Manchester United claimed victories.


Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match. Every single shot is awarded an xG value based on the difficulty of the attempt, with factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders present affecting the value.
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hollywoodadviser.com/alternative-premier-league-table-after-35-games-based-on-expected-goals/
But how would the Premier League table look if it was based on results calculated by 'Expected Goals'? Here at talkSPORT.com we're always keeping an eye on Understat.com to see how clubs are performing based on their xG stats. Find out how the stats believe the Premier League SHOULD be shaping up below…
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